This is an opinion column. The thoughts expressed are those of the author.


CDC Data That's Not Being Advertised
Sam Pearson 8/11/2021 11:03 AM

I have been tracking Center for Disease Controlís data and providing it to others since March 11, 2020. This is the 1 August 2021 update on COVID-19 deaths. One may note that the DELTA variant has had no impact on the downward trajectory of deaths. In fact, Delta has caused so few hospitalizations that result in death that a government report from England indicates that the fatality rate for the delta variant there is 0.1%, compared with 1.9% for the original coronavirus. The difference is a factor of 19. Keep in mind that the 1.9% is the percentage of people who had SARS-CoV-2, went to the hospital, eventually died with COVID-19 mentioned anywhere on the death certificate. The 0.1% mortality rate of those hospitalized is about the same as our annual summer flu.

Influenza can cause mild to severe symptoms, such as:

nasal congestion

coughing

sneezing

a sore throat

headaches

muscle aches

a fever

chills

fatigue

But certainly not death except in those who normally die from summer, flu-like illnesses. 

The reason the Delta variant is so similar to the annual summer flu is that it is the annual summer flu renamed to COVID Delta variant. 

Get ready for the next variant, Lambda, we called it the winter cold before 2020. It will start making its way across the US in September just as it has done for at least the last 100 years.

No photo description available.

 

I was asked by a distinguished colleague to post a CDC graphic of past flu seasons data. As one can see, the 2020-2021 flu season was a full 3 standard deviations below the 10-year average for hospital visits. However, when added to COVID-19 visits 2020-2021 flu season falls within the normal range of Hospital visits for flu like illnesses. Since we now know that the COVID-19 test (2020-2021) was actually testing for A type viruses, this makes mathematical sense and is not an outlier. 

One may also note that the Delta variant (rapid increase on right side of 2020-2021 season) is carried as a flu like illness by CDC as it is a significant summer flu.

 

Perhaps the best news of all is that those under 18 have just experienced the safest year in recorded American History for Pediatric deaths... only one (1) death occurred among America's children due to flu like illness during the 2020-2021 season!

 

May be an image of text that says 'enza-Associatec Pediatric Deaths by Week of Death, 2017-2018 season to 2020-2021 season 30 25 2017-2018 Number of Deaths 188 2018-2019 Number of Deaths 144 2019-2020 Number of Deaths 199 shee 20 of Number 10 15 2020-2021 Number of Deaths 1 6 0 0 2017-40 2017-46 2017-52 2018-06 2018-12 2018-18 2127 Week of Death Deaths Reported Previous Weeks 98-000 2020-52 2021-05 14-1227 2021-17 2021-23 2021-29 Deaths Reported Current Week'


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Sam Pearson
Sam Pearson is a retired Army Colonel with a variety of experience in both government and private sectors. As arguably one of the World's foremost military logisticians, he has been responsible for the on time delivery of supplies and services worth billions of dollars. After service in Southwest Asia, he was hand picked to support logistics operations in support of earthquake relief operations in Haiti. Pearson now serves as a consultant and volunteer mentor for students seeking their doctorates in advance statistical analysis.




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