Proving Vote fraud Takes Legwork and Lots of It

This article is a bit of heresy for some AFNN readers. So read no further if you are all in on the Dominion voting machine being used to swing the election results illegally. Proving vote fraud requires a lot of legwork.

Several years ago, I called into my local NPR station to point out that they have never actually looked for any voter fraud, so how can they say it has never happened to any significant extent? As I started to explain how to check for voter fraud, they cut me off and explained how the had talked to the secretary of state, and she had explained how voter fraud was basically impossible.

As I tried to explain why checking with the person in charge of securing an election is not exactly an investigation, they silenced my phone and continued to explain how it couldn’t happen. This is pretty typical of the investigations being down by our formerly skeptical media. Check with the responsible authority and quote them as the authoritative answer. How our press has fallen.

So, here, in this article, I will explain how to actually look for voter fraud. Currently this type of investigation is not being done by anyone, including Trump and the Republicans, which explains why no one has any actual proof of voter fraud.

To find voter fraud, you have to do foot work. You start at the most local level, the precinct, and get the count and demographics of the registered voters. You then get the historical voting records of the precinct to see how many people have typically voted, and how they voted.

But that’s just the first step. Next, you have to get the number of votes cast in the precinct and compare that to the number of registered voters. If the number of votes exceeds the number of registered voters that is prima-facie evidence of something wrong.

Next if the percentage turnout is very high or very low for that precinct, that indicates that there may be a problem. Its not for sure, a low turnout may simply indicate low interest, and high turnout can indicate high interest in an election. But either abnormally high or low turnout can indicate a problem. The best way to check that is compare the turnout to similar precincts.

Next, how did they vote? Pollsters have a very good idea how the voters in any particular precinct are likely to vote, so if the precinct did not vote as would normally be expected, especially if surrounding precincts did vote as expected, there is likely to be a problem. Was the percentage in favor of one politician unnaturally high or unnaturally low. Were there a bunch of non-votes on a particular candidate or issue.

Finally, you look at all of this and see what you have. You need a good basic understanding of statistics. You need to have a good source of information on the size and demographics of each precinct. You must have an understanding of the most recent election, and what the voter concerns were. Once you have all of that, you can make an evaluation. Was there fraud? Are any of the statistics so far off of the norm that it seems very likely that something was tampered with?

If you determine that it was likely that the results were tampered with, then you have to prove it. Remember that just showing that the numbers don’t make sense doesn’t prove fraud. You have to prove the numbers were tampered with. This is a very high standard, and the reason you never see any actual, serious analysis.

It is a canard that all politics is local, national issues do affect the local vote. But all voting is local, and the only way to determine if there was voter fraud is to look at the local level. Any time a politician claims voter fraud, without even looking at the votes at the local level, he is merely bloviating. And any time a reporter or politician clams there was no significant fraud without looking at the local level, similarly he is merely bloviating

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