The only accurate prediction I see this year is everyone in politics will make a prediction about the midterm election. The primary season shows how well everyone is doing.
In Wisconsin, Democrat Francesco Hong went from 23-point favorite on Election Day to loser on Election Night. Turns out even cheeseheads like Thanksgiving.
In Florida, Democrat Alex Vindman the Vindictive outspent some commie 16-to-1 and wound up in second place. Turns out even Democrats hate carpet baggers.
In Michigan, mental midget Shri Thanedar lost to a commie.
Other shoo-ins who got the boot include George Conway, Bill Cassidy and Dan Goldman. Politics is a lot like Nascar racing. Fans go to see who gets the flag and who kisses the wall.
Half the candidates in November will kiss the wall.
Real Clear Politics shows Democrats lead in the polls and the online bookie joints in eight of ten close Senate races.
After spending the last 10 years pimping transgender rights, demanding super citizenship for illegal aliens, and calling for the obliteration of Jews from the river to the sea, Democrats have discovered the word affordability and are championing the cost of living.
The alignment of the bookies and the polls show that you can fix either if you have enough money. Why bother campaigning? Just place millions on bets on yourself, coast to victory as the inevitable winner and then collect the money.
Well, unless you are billionaire Tom Steyer. Turns out there is a thing called ad overload and fatigue. He advertised during the Puppy Bowl? Really? Is there no safe haven from politicians?
I am not going to predict who will win on Election Day. I expect a Democrat sweep because Republicans failed to pas the SAVE Act.
But we do know that if there were a fair count of votes on Election Night, Democrats would lose most races. Let’s see how many mail-in ballots from Red China the Democrats will need to win each race in the 10 closest Senate races.
- I begin with boring old Iowa, where RCP gives a slight edge to Republican Congresswoman Ashley Hinson, a former news anchor in Cedar Falls. She is a violinist and almost chose a career in concert music but decided on a career that requires no skills—journalism.
Her opponent is Josh Turek, a Paralympic gold-medal basketball player (wheelchair basketball due to spina bifida) and military veteran. You can’t take any cheap shots at him. That’s no fun.
The polls are close, but Kamala was ahead by 3 two days before the election and lost by 13.
1.6 million Iowans voted in 2024. looks like Iowa Democrats will need 160,000 votes from Red China to pull this one off.
- In Texas, RCP gives the edge to vegan pantywaist James Talarico over state Attorney General Ken Paxton, who other than cheating on his wife after saying he stopped cheating and having to pay $300,000 in penalties to avoid prison for securities violations, is a fine upstanding Republican office holder. So his net worth rose from $200,000 to $8 million while holding office.
Paxton’s biggest mistake was primarying John Cornyn because the former No. 3 man in the Republican senatorial hierarchy is helping the Democrat.
That’s offset by Talarico beating Jasmine Crockett in the primary, which likely will see black voters staying home.
2.9 million black people live in Texas, the most in the nation.
11.4 million Texans voted in 2024. Obama better put in an order with Red China for 1.2 million mail-in votes.
- In Michigan, Republican Mike Rogers faces Abdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed, who is so proud of being a Muslim that he claims it is Islamophobic to call him by his full name. So call him Osama bin El-Sayed instead. Or do like we do with the Democrat congressman from Delaware and just call him Sarah.
That’s it. That’s the issue. El-Sayed is an Allahu Akbar Muslim. The only question is if there are enough Muslims in Dearborn, Detroit and Hamtramck and white liberal women to get him elected. That he hates football, Mackinac Island and dogs should have made him runner-up in the primary, but here he is an election away from a Senate seat with the help of his buddies who celebrated 9/11.
Rogers lost by 20,000 last time. Democrats should need 2 million mail-in votes to keep that Michigan seat because even Michiganders know what is at stake this time.
- In Alaska, confusion reigns as Republican Dan Sullivan seeks re-election. He faces a former Democrat congresswoman and another person named Dan Sullivan who was thrown into the mix to siphon enough votes from the real Dan Sullivan so the Democrat can win.
On top of that, it is a ranked voting state. The primary was held last week. Votes are still coming in. The problem for Democrats is they made voting so complicated that Chairman Xi cannot figure out how to properly forge the ballots Democrats will need to win but maybe they can win without help.
- In Maine, the cousin-loving Democrat lumberjack who hasn’t been in a forest in 30 years is slightly ahead of Republican Senator Susan Collins according to RCP.
Maine voters loved her giving her wins of 5 points, 17 points, 23 points, 27 points and 8 points in her previous Senate races. But the older she gets, the more voters she loses to Father Time. She won by 70,000 last time.
100,000 made-in-Red China votes should give Democrats the seat.
- In New Hampshire, Sununus have sought the governorship, Senate seat or House seat 12 times—winning 11 times.
The Sununu who lost had that one loss is running for the Republican Senate nomination against former Senator Scott Brown, who lost his seat in Massachusetts to Pocahontas. Democrat Congressman Chris Pappas looks to win his party’s nomination but Vindman was supposed to waltz to the Senate in Florida.
New Hampshire hasn’t elected a Republican to the Senate in 16 years. I don’t think Democrats need to place an order on this race but 50,000 should assure victory.
- In Florida, Angel Nixon surprised the polls to beat the Ukrainian Ulcer known as Vindman, aka Flounder.
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Democrats will need eleventy million mail-in votes to make Miss Nixon a senator because she is crazy and a communist.
- In Ohio, Trump’s 2024 victory cost Democrat Sherrod Brown his Senate seat. Now he seeks to replace Republican John Husted, who was appointed to replace JD Vance in the Senate.
Brown should be a shoo-in because a midterm election with a Republican president is a plus for Democrats. Besides, he opposes moving the Cleveland Browns to Brook Park. That’s strictly a Joe Populist move.
But Donald Trump owns Ohio. 5.85 million Ohioans voted in 2024. He plans to campaign. Deporting Haitians reduces the number of votes Democrat can expect.
Democrats will need at least 100,000 Chinese votes to win.
- In Georgia, Democrat incumbent Jon Ossoff is using the race as a springboard for a 2028 candidacy as president.
Ossoff made this election a referendum on Trump, who carried the state three times—the deep state having stolen his 2020 victory.
Either the order for mail-in votes already is in or Democrats believe they have a lock.
- In North Carolina, Democrats believe they have a lock to replace Republican Thom Tillis with former Governor Roy Cooper.
They may be right but if I ran the RNC, I’d be reminding voters where the Democrat Party stands on transgendering, illegal aliens and anti-Semitism because the moment Democrats take power back, those three things become issues again because believe it or not, issues still can decide an election.
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This article first appeared on Don Surber’s Substack. Reprinted here with permission.
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