MI and WI Flipped to Harris This Week in the RCP Polling Averages; Here’s Why It Doesn’t Matter

After becoming very comfortable with former President Donald Trump’s leads in the RealClearPolitics polling averages of all seven battleground states, I was alarmed to see that Michigan and Wisconsin had flipped into the Harris column on Tuesday. The reversal in Wisconsin was caused by the release of a CNN/SSRS poll that found Vice President Kamala …

Read more

Liberals’ Knives Come Out for Nate Silver After His Model Points to a Trump Victory

And just like that, after suggesting that Vice President Kamala Harris’s honeymoon phase is over, polling guru Nate Silver went from a liberal darling to a charlatan who is working in cahoots with Silicon Valley billionaire and past Republican megadonor Peter Thiel (regardless of the fact that Thiel has repeatedly said he is sitting out …

Read more

Trump’s strength in the polls and new $100 million pledge leave Dems wondering how it all went so wrong

Democrats were sure that former President Donald Trump’s conviction on 34 felony counts in a New York courtroom on May 30 would see independent voters abandon him in droves. He is now a convicted felon and although the verdict will likely be reversed upon appeal, there is little likelihood that will happen before Election Day. …

Read more

CNN pollster stunned by 50% plunge in support for Biden among black voters under 50 

One of the surprises of the current election cycle has been the meaningful increase in support for former President Donald Trump among black voters, a historically Democratic voting bloc.  On Monday, CNN senior political data reporter Harry Enten told viewers that at this point in 2020, 86% of blacks backed President Joe Biden while 7% …

Read more

New poll shows why Trump is likely to defeat Biden in November

The serial indictments of former President Donald Trump last spring sent his support among Republicans and some independents into the stratosphere. For the first time, he topped President Joe Biden in the RealClearPolitics average of national polls, a lead he maintained from early April through July. Although Biden enjoyed a brief reprieve over the summer, …

Read more

Pollster: Trump is ‘stronger today than he’s ever been’

President Trump

In a Tuesday interview with conservative podcaster Charlie Kirk, Big Data pollster Rich Baris claimed that support for former President Donald Trump is stronger today than in either 2016 or 2020. He also believes the 2024 election will be a “total disaster for the Democrats.” From his lips to God’s ears. Here’s some of what …

Read more

Biden Voters Have Bad News for Joe If He Wants to Beat Donald Trump in 2024

If the 2024 presidential election were held today, former President Donald Trump would defeat President Joe Biden by a margin of 46 to 41, according to a Harvard CAPS-Harris poll released to The Hill on Friday. Thirteen percent of respondents said they were unsure. In a match up with Vice President Kamala Harris, 49 percent …

Read more