Do DNC controlled counties in swing states determine the outcome of national elections?

Question: Do DNC controlled counties in swing states determine the outcome of national elections? By Robert J.H. McManus

Based on the returns from the past four Presidential elections, big DNC victories in urban counties in OH, FL, WI and PA can propel any DNC candidate (however flawed or unfamiliar)…into the White House. Given the electoral stakes, both parties campaign heavily in swing states and spend hundreds of millions of media dollars.  But the DNC has a clear advantage in WI (Milwaukee and Madison), in OH (Columbus and Cleveland), in FL (Ft. Lauderdale and Miami) and PA (Pittsburgh and Philadelphia). Given historic corruption by both parties, it is no wonder that the registration of independent voters is on the rise in all four states.

DNC landslides in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia can almost always secure a state-wide victory and the critical electoral votes for nationwide victory. To be sure, the DNC controls the tabulation (collecting, securing, transporting and counting) of all votes in both Allegheny and Philadelphia Counties. Further, the PA Secretary of State, the person who certifies the election, aspires to “higher office” (i.e. Governor). And what party affiliation is the PA Secretary of State? Democrat…no surprise. The same is often true in OH, FL and WI. For now, let us look only at the DNC controlled counties that swing PA elections. The data and the outcomes show a clear advantage to the DNC. In the past four presidential elections, in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia, the DNC enjoyed a one million registered voter advantage over the GOP.

Year	County	DNC		GOP		Reg. Margin	Obama		McCain	2 Cnty Margin
2008	Allegheny	594,222		256,320			373,153		272,347
	Philadelphia	888,681		147,068			595,980		117,221
		1,482,903	–	-403,388	=	1.08M	969,133	–	389,568	579,565
					State wide margin		3,276,363		2,655,885	620,478
Data Source: CitiData
							Obama		Romney
2012	Allegheny	556,819		250,279			348,151		259,304
	Philadelphia	856,144		132,571			557,024		91,840
		1,412,963		382,850		1.03M	905,175		351,144	554,031
					State wide margin		2,907,448		2,619,583	287,865
Data Source: Politico
							Clinton		Trump
2016	Allegheny	539,900		259,534			363,017		257,488
	Philadelphia	853,091		125,557			560,542		105,418
		1,392,991		385,091		1.01 M	923,559		362,906	560,653
					State wide margin		2,844,705		2,912,941	68,236
	Data Source: Pennsylvania Dept. of State
	Note:  With an overwhelming victory in the rural part of the state, Trump squeeked out a win, despite of the historic DNC advantage.
Year	County	DNC		GOP		Reg. Margin	Biden		Trump	2 Cnty Margin
2020	Allegheny	539,595		267,832			429,065		282,324
	Philadelphia	856,949		130,566			603,790		132,740
		1,396,544		398,398		=     998,146	1,032,855		415,064	617,791
					State wide margin		3,458,229		3,377,674	80,555
	Data Source: Wikipedia

To be sure, if a forensic audit of the 2020 mail-in ballots from Pennsylvania counties determines 80,655 Biden mail-in ballots were not verifiable ballots (i.e. ballots cast by dead people, convicts, immigrants and family pets), then those mail-in ballots are thrown out and Trump wins PA by 100 votes. The same forensic audit of mail-in ballots can be conducted in WI, FL, OH and in 2020…AZ, NV and GA. This is the argument made by Rudy Giuliani in all seven states. But the DNC elected judges in the seven states refused to grant the argument “legal status” and the forensic audits were never conducted. This ruling led to the “Stop the Steal” march on Jan. 6. In response to Jan. 6, the liberal media parrots DNC talking points, i.e. “Conservatives are mean and undemocratic because they want to suppress voter turnout.” Let us “mute” the DNC’s talking points and liberal media’s FEELINGS and analyze the data to determine the FACTS.

To determine voter participation by party, we divide the DNC candidate votes by the number of registered DNC voters. Same with the GOP. Assume most…if not all, vote for “their” candidate. If the GOP candidate secured more than their party’s registered voters, then they earned some DNC voters as well as Independents. Rest assured  the DNC would not allow GOP ballot box stuffing  in a DNC controlled county.

Should the historic participation SKEW down, was their voter suppression activities or just voter apathy?  Should the historic participation SKEW up, was their “ballot box stuffing” activities? The participation by party, by county is calculated and listed below. Any significant change should concern the officials who certify the vote. Anecdotal evidence suggests Conservative Supreme Court Justices were concerned with millions of unprecedented COVID/mail-in ballots.

The “strange election night” lent credence to the complaints from the Trump Campaign and White House. But Chief Justice John Roberts quite literally “shouted down” the Conservatives on the Court, pointing to the tortured Florida voting results from the Bush vs. Gore election. Justice Roberts did not want an election to be determined by “his” Supreme Court. Further, the IT expert who developed the bar coding for official mail-in ballots gave legal testimonies that many of AZ, NV, GA, FL, OH, WI and PA mail-in ballots lacked the required and embedded bar codes. So why were the fraud ballots verified? Because the DNC was in charge.                                                                                                                              

So, despite DNC/liberal media talking points of “no evidence of wide-spread election fraud,” hard evidence and expert testimony says otherwise. Finally, did voter participation in 2020 deviate from past elections? Besides anecdotal evidence of fraud, was there statistical evidence of “ballot box” stuffing?

Trump’s legal team was not allowed in the building, (Philadelphia Convention Center), to oversee the collection and counting of ballots in Philadelphia. The same “lock out” occurred in AZ, NV, GA, WI, OH and FL. Is there data to suggest ballot box stuffing? Let us examine participation in the past four presidential elections in PA.  “Change” data is any movement from  the baseline year of 2008…Obama’s first victory.

DNC Participation	YR	County		%	Change	County		%	Change
	2008	Allegheny		62.7		Philadelphia		67.0
	2012			67.2	4.50%			66.0	-1.00%
	2016			67.2	4.50%			65.7	-1.30%
	2020			79.5	16.80%			70.4	3.40%
GOP Participation	2008	Allegheny		106.2		Philadelphia		79.7
	2012			103.6	-2.60%			69.2	-10.50%
	2016			99.2	-7.00%			83.9	4.20%
	2020			105.1	-1.10%			101.7	22%

In Allegheny County, the data suggests there was little enthusiasm for Obama’s second term or Hillary Clinton’s first.  Yet somehow, a man who did not campaign (Biden) spiked voters interest, up 16.8% in Allegheny and up 3.4% in Philadelphia!  Can a 20% spike in DNC ballots swing an election?  Sure!  In a city where DNC voters gave Obama 595,980 in 2008, twelve years later registered DNC voters cast 603,790 votes for Joe Biden?  So 7,810 Philadelphia voters liked Joe Biden (who did not campaign) more than Barack Obama, who appeared on the cover of six national magazines.  Does that outcome pass your “smell test?”

In Allegheny County, GOP and Independent voters heavily supported McCain, Romney and both Trump campaigns. But it appears that Indy voters in Philadelphia were not engaged with McCain, Romney or Trump’s initial messaging.  Trump’s appeal did resonate in Philadelphia in 2020.  But it did not matter.  The million vote registration advantage could not be overcome.  This is STILL difficult to fathom.  Here’s why.

Not all DNC voters in Philadelphia are African or Latino. Many are Italian and Irish. Northeast and Northwest Philadelphia are working class neighborhoods, full of residents who fled West, North and South Philadelphia…just after World War II. The influx of African Americans from Southern states during the War years, caused a great deal of unrest in Philadelphia.  Rather than deal with the “new neighbor,” many Italian and Irish simply moved out of the old neighborhoods and into Northwest and Northeast Philadelphia. That said, why would the white DNC voters select Obama in ’08 and ’12?  If you asked them, the Irish and Italians would tell you “they didn’t.” If true, why wouldn’t the 300,000 white registered DNC voters in Northeast and Northwest Philadelphia vote for Romney and McCain? If you asked them, they would tell you “they did.”  But as we have discussed, the collecting, securing, transporting and final tabulation of votes in Philadelphia County are controlled by the DNC.

Again, if we took a deep dive in WI (Milwaukee and Madison), in OH (Columbus and Cleveland) and in FL (Ft. Lauderdale and Miami), we would find the same skewed voting data.  Further, we would also find year to year growth of the Independent Voters.  So what does this all mean for the 2022 mid-term elections?  There is a whole lot at stake.  Given the Hunter Biden laptop computer scandal and the implied influence peddling by Family Biden…while Joe was the Vice President, a GOP majority in the House will flip committee leadership.  GOP leadership has promised a robust investigation and criminal prosecution of the Biden Family, when the GOP takes power.

	2022 Mid Term Voter Registration Data from Allegheny and Philadelphia Counties
	County	DNC	GOP	DNC Lead	INDY	Total Registered
	Allegheny	534,242	264,198		98,959	897,399
	Philadelphia	807,774	120,898		109,101	1,037,773
		1,342,016	385,096	956,920

With a million vote margin in two counties controlled by the DNC, can a brain damaged biker from Braddock defeat a cardio thoracic surgeon for the US Senate race in Pennsylvania?  Maybe…especially since a diminished candidate like Biden won the state by 88,000 votes. Is that why the DNC greenlighted the debate?  Because DNC leadership in Pennsylvania already knows the Fetterman Senate victory is “baked in?”

Can’t wait for one more tortured election night/week, where it takes days to determine the winner? Want to end the mystery of our elections?  Return to the one day to vote and eliminate mail-in ballots.  The more time an election takes, the more ways to vote, the more variables we add to the election equation.  More variables, more risk, more human nature taking the “fallen nature” course.

Elections determine who has their hands on the levers of power. And in our country, that means who annually spends $6.2 trillion dollars, some of it borrowed from our children and grandchildren.

As a people, we must realize our country is not about D.C. embedded corporations and a permanent class of politicians and bureaucrats.  Every single DC corporation and permanent resident depends on our tax dollars. Therefore, the country, the United States of America is all about the 328 million people who live here.  We complain, but we continue to fund all of this madness! We must do better for ourselves, our neighbors and our children. We have no choice. Should we chose to ignore the obvious corruption and fraud conducted by elected and unelected government officials, we will get the government we deserve.

About the Author

Robert J.H. McManus is a graduate of Franklin & Marshall College and the Wharton School of Business. A life-long resident of suburban Philadelphia, and a registered Independent, Robert is a third generation poll watcher. His grandmother (Mary Harding Considine) was a suffragette and the first female columnist of a U.S. daily newspaper (The North American). His mother (Elizabeth Considine McManus) was a World War II spy. A lobbyist who traveled frequently to Capitol Hill, Robert has presented to Senators, Committees in the House of Representatives, the Department of Defense, the General Accounting Office and Health and Human Services.