No, I don’t think this will result in World War III, despite my headline and stock illustration, but wars do not always turn out quite the way you expect. Der Führer certainly didn’t expect Germany to have been virtually destroyed, Hideki Tojo did not expect Japan to be utterly defeated and bombed to smoking ruins, and Vladimir Putin is still shaking his ugly head over the fact that Ukraine wasn’t conquered in four short weeks.
Did our campaign in Vietnam save the South from the scourges of Communism? Saddam Hussein was sent to Jahannam, but is Iraq the liberal democracy that the younger President Bush envisioned? The war in Afghanistan was necessary, to go after Osama bin Laden and al Qaeda, but, after twenty years of fighting, while al Qaeda was virtually destroyed, the Taliban still run that country.
Two things can be true at the same time:
- The Iranian government is a cabal of scum and a plague against the civilized world; and
- The United States should not have attacked Iran to depose that government.
The people of Iran were already revolting, and though we cannot know whether they would have succeeded, the United States and Israel striking Iran can only lend credence to the claims of the mad mullahs that the uprisings in Iran were created and coordinated by the Great Satan. While the attacks might destroy the government, they are less likely to create a new government which will be that friendly toward Western civilization.
Iran was already suffering through real poverty, and a crippling drought. The very strained water systems in Iran could easily be damaged or destroyed in military strikes, possibly leading to the very civilians we support dying of thirst.
Though there are times when war is necessary, it is still a very bad thing.
We in the United States have too antiseptic a view of war. Even the wars we lost or in which we were stalemated, while we lost men and machines, there were no strikes on the United States itself. We have two very broad oceans which have protected us from war coming to American soil itself, while we have the ability to strike nations half a world away. We lost 58,220 soldiers in Vietnam, a tragedy for their families and them, but the United States wasn’t struck by the Viet Cong, because they couldn’t. The last war on our soil was our own Civil War, which ended 161 years ago; no one alive today remembers that war.
But wars are not antiseptic for those countries in which war rages. Ukraine has not yet been defeated, but has suffered tremendous losses in not only soldiers and civilians, but in the infrastructure which enables a country to survive and prosper. The damage to Israel has been slight, due in significant part to their defensive technology, bit some has occurred. For the Palestinians, I do not know just what they expected after the October 7th attack, but surely they did not expect the Hell they received.
We need to look at what happens to other nations when war happens on their soil, and realize that eventually it could happen to us.
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Frankly, this is one of the most idiotic things Trump has ever done… and he’s done plenty of stupid stuff. About 5% of those who voted for MAGA in 2024 did so on his promise to end wars and regime change. Since he was sworn in, he has outdone Biden and Obama and even the Bushes with war, war, and more war.
Prepare for Biden 2.0 in spades. The Republicans are going to get nuked in the next elections. They sucked up to the Neocons… they deserve what they will get.