DIME Part I: The Next World War Started Before Anybody Fired a Shot

History teaches us that wars rarely begin with the first shot. Long before the tanks move, capital flees, talent leaves, economies fracture, alliances shift, and nations begin using every tool of power except the one labeled “military.” From brain drain to DIME, Clausewitz, game theory, nuclear deterrence and the Madman Theory, the warning signs are usually there. The problem isn’t that history doesn’t teach us anything. It’s that humans keep waiting for the shooting before admitting the war has begun.

Clausewitz, Jomini, and DIME-FIL: Why a 200-Year-Old War Theory Still Explains the Iran War

Start with Clausewitz. His most famous line remains the most brutally accurate description of war ever written: war is the continuation of politics by other means. In other words, wars are not random explosions of violence. Nations fight because they want political outcomes—territory, influence, regime survival, deterrence, or control of strategic regions.

Can a Free Republic be a Superpower: Part 2a: Is the US a Superpower?

On the surface, this question seems almost silly. The US has a nuclear arsenal, one of the strongest economies, and outstanding military power. Yet we ran from Afghanistan with our tail between our legs in near total disgrace. We did something like that in Vietnam nearly 50 years before repeating it in Afghanistan. Are these …

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Thoughts on Ukraine, Part 5: Post-War Assessment and Rebuild

Ukraine Assessment and Rebuld

I understand the conflict is ongoing and does not have a known end date or end state conditions. But the sooner the USG, NATO, and the EU think through the dynamics of assessment, the quicker they can respond and conduct it. If they stand up coordinated assessment teams now, they can start assessing pre-conflict items, and conflict response now and gathering data.